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Investment under Uncertainty, by Avinash K. Dixit, Robert S. Pindyck
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How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending.
This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.
- Sales Rank: #202741 in Books
- Published on: 1994-01-10
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.55" h x 1.38" w x 6.41" l, 1.85 pounds
- Binding: Hardcover
- 476 pages
From the Inside Flap
"[The authors'] approach has powerful implications for investors in marketable assets as well. No investment professional or CFO can afford to ignore this brilliant new book."--Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street
"Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck have successfully applied to capital budgeting the ideas and techniques of option pricing that have so enriched our understanding of financial markets."--Merton H. Miller, Nobel Laureate in Economics
From the Back Cover
"[The authors'] approach has powerful implications for investors in marketable assets as well. No investment professional or CFO can afford to ignore this brilliant new book."--Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street
"Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck have successfully applied to capital budgeting the ideas and techniques of option pricing that have so enriched our understanding of financial markets."--Merton H. Miller, Nobel Laureate in Economics
Most helpful customer reviews
55 of 62 people found the following review helpful.
Not For The Faint-Hearted
By Dr. David P. Newton
Investment Under Undertainty by Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck has been an important book in the 1990's because it introduced a relatively new subject to a new and eager audience when there was little else available outside of original research papers. Many of us are grateful to the authors for this introduction. However, newcomers should be aware that they omit large and crucial details of implementation [example: chapter 4, section 1H, pages 110-112 including the graphs on page 111: a newcomer will be lost; if you wait until the appendix to chapter 10, on numerical solution, then you may or may not note the printing errors]. The book is not for the faint-hearted beginner; even the simplest material, such as valuation of a perpetuity (see Corporate Finance by Brealey & Myers - very easy) occurs in a form which the beginner or skim-reading manager might not readily recognise (chapter 5, section 1A, pages 138-139); but then this book is not for them.
See also Real Options by Lenos Trigeorgis, who writes as if he keenly wants you to have fast access to his subject. For someone writing purely on the mathematical finance aspects, read anything by Paul Wilmott, who is clearly both clever and an exceptional educator
6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Fabulous Text on Real Options
By C. Ang
Let me start off by saying that this is an excellent book. The authors are very clear writers and the text is easy to follow. I think there are two types of readers that can benefit from reading this book. First, anyone that wants to learn about real options, especially the theory behind it should read this book. Dixit and Pindyck do a wonderful job explaining the different options embedded in real projects. Second, anyone that wants to learn how to use dynamic programming or contingent claims analysis to solve real options problems should read this book. In my opinion, Dixit and Pindyck have the best explanation of what to expect and how to solve the common specifications found in real options problems. They show problems that make use of different stochastic processes, such as geometric Brownian motions, mean reverting processes, or Poisson jump processes, and show how some of these can be solved analytically. Other books do not delve into a lot of detail on finding analytical solutions to the problems and merely assume that readers would be able to figure out their calculations. In addition, there is a short section (might even have been an appendix) that briefly discusses how numerical solutions work.
After reading a number of real options texts available in the market, I am glad that I still took the time to read this book. This is probably the most important real options book out there. Although I think every one interested in real options should read this, I think the ones that are particularly interested in more applied real options are better served by a book like Copeland and Antikarov's Real Options book and Copeland's Valuation book. These books are more geared towards solving valuation problems using binomial trees, which for practical purposes would most likely be the approach used (as most real world problems would probably need numerical solutions anyway).
15 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
State of the art -- but math is a required subject
By A Customer
Let me say that this is not a book for those looking for investment advice or get-rich-quick schemes. It is also not a book for those who think that an MBA and an HP12C are all you need to understand the basic theory behind investments, options, etc.
It is a mathematical subject...and to those with a good mathematical background, the book is remarkably well-organized and easy to understand. I found this book to be very helpful in my research.
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